Texas State vs Utah State 11/3/2012

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Utah State is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over Texas State. Chuckie Keeton is averaging 214 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Kerwynn Williams is projected for 120 rushing yards and a 80% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where Texas State wins, Shaun Rutherford averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 0.59 interceptions. Marcus Curry averages 49 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 46 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Utah State has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -24.5
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